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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Rasmussen: Sarah Palin’s Approval Rating Higher Than Barack Obama’s

In a national poll conducted by Rasmussen on November 13 and 14, 2009 among 1000 likely voters, Sarah Palin is now polling higher in approval than Barack Obama.

In their latest poll, Rasmussen finds that 51 percent have a favorable view of Sarah Palin while 43 percent have an unfavorable view. Obviously, this is a very strong rating considering the constant bombardment the American public is subjected to by the corrupt media, telling them how "bad for America" Sarah Palin is.

If anything, this may be more of a statement on the shrinking influence the old, corrupt media has on the American public, than on Sarah Palin herself. It may also show that Americans are moving past the misinformation that is out there, and actually looking into Sarah’s record.

The question and answers from Rasmussen:

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin?

21% Very favorable

30% Somewhat favorable

14% Somewhat unfavorable

29% Very unfavorable

5% Not sure

Another question asks this:

Is Sarah Palin a divisive force in the Republican Party, or is she representative of a new direction for the party?

26% She is a divisive force in the Republican Party

41% She is representative of a new direction for the Republican Party

33% Not sure

Now this is an important question, as most feel the Republican party, as well as the democrat/communist party, has come off the rails. Being seen as a new direction for the party is certainly a good thing.

A separate Rasmussen Report, released Monday, November 16, 2009, finds that 59 percent of Republican voters feel Sarah shares their values:

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Republican voters say former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin shares the values of most GOP voters throughout the nation.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 21% of Republican voters disagree and think the 2008 vice presidential candidate does not share their values. Twenty percent (20%) are undecided.

By contrast, 74% of Republicans say their party’s representatives in Congress have lost touch with GOP voters nationwide over the past several years. Only 18% of Republican voters believe their elected officials have done a good job representing the base.

The findings in these two surveys highlight the political debate within the Republican Party. Party leaders worry that Palin is pushing the GOP too far to the right to win general elections by aligning herself with Tea Party voters frustrated with both parties in Washington and the big government policies they have produced.

Still, just 18% of Republicans - and 26% of voters nationwide - see Palin as a divisive force within the GOP. A plurality believes Palin is representative of a new direction for the Republican Party. That view is held by 57% of Republicans and 41% of all voters. A plurality of Democrats aren’t sure what to think of Palin’s role within the opposing party.

Again, the story here is despite an all out assault by the corrupt state run media, Republicans feel that Sarah is basically one of them, someone who shares their values, feelings, and goals.

Bouncing that off the fact that these same voters think the GOP as a whole is going completely in the wrong direction, and a picture begins to form of where the voters would like to see America go, and who they would like to see take them there.

It’s also important to point out that these polls were taken before Sarah’s new book, Going Rogue, A American Life, has been in the public’s hands, or she started her media tour surrounding it. As more people see the real Sarah, her numbers can go nowhere but up.

We realize that the next Presidential election is three years away, a lifetime away in political terms, but the mid-term elections will kick into high gear in less than two months, and Sarah has stated that she plans to make an impact on those elections by endorsing candidates, and working with candidates who share her values. This polling indicates that anyone who receives Sarah’s support will likely receive the strong support of Republican voters, making Sarah the party’s king maker.

In contrast to all of this, Barack Obama continues to slide in the polls as Americans learn more about him, and actually experience his leadership, or lack there of.

In the latest Rasmussen tracking poll, Obama’s approval sits at 49 percent, with 51 percent disapproving.

27% Strongly Approve

39% Strongly Disapprove

49% Total Approve

51% Total Disapprove

In Rasmussen terms, this gives Obama a -12 in the "approval index." Rasmussen takes the difference between those who strongly approve and strongly disapprove to come up with a "passion index." Here too, Sarah betters Obama with a -8 between those with a very favorable and a very unfavorable.

Of course, the big thing here is the fact that while Obama is basically the media’s favorite son, and they carry his water quite well, covering up and failing to report many issues, or trying to down play them, while at the same time vilifying Sarah Palin like no candidate in modern history, Sarah still comes out on top.

To me, there is an important set of numbers, and a strong indicator that Sarah is winning the battle for hearts and minds. Some will look toonly the strongly approve and strongly favorable, and see that Obama looks better with 27 percent strongly approving vs 21 percent feeling very favorable towards Sarah.

But the big numbers to look at are these: While 29 percent of those polled have a very unfavorable opinion of Palin, 39 percent feel a strong disapproval for Barack Obama. A full 10 percent more of the voting public strongly disapprove of Obama vs Sarah.

Again, as Sarah is finally getting out there and letting America see the real person, not the caricature the media has invented, or the hamstrung version from McCain campaign, her polling numbers can only rise. America has had a good look at Obama, and doesn’t like what it sees. In my opinion, barring a complete and total change in policies and direction, which is highly unlikely, Obama’s numbers are not likely to recover.

As a final note, Rasmussen indicates a confidence rate of 95 percent on these polls. We tend to trust Rasmussen the most, because of their polling methods. Rasmussen polls "likely voters" which tends to be more accurate than polling "registered voters" or as many polls use "adults, " which can give you wildly inaccurate results. Rasmussen has proven to be the most accurate in the last four election cycles, beginning in 2004.

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