PPP refers to a CNN poll in which Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, and Mike Huckabee were compared to Obama for the 2012 election. What they do not mention is that CNN found no clear frontrunner between the three among male respondents. However, Sarah Palin held a 10% advantage over Huckabee and a 12% advantage over Romney among female respondents. (I'm not sure how they did their math, but this sounds like an overall advantage for Sarah Palin to me.) There was a significant change from the CNN poll in December, in which Huckabee polled 2% higher than Palin among females. As Hot Air opined, the tide is turning - in many ways.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Palin: the moderate choice?
One interesting fact within our national poll looking at the 2012 Presidential picture last week: Sarah Palin is the most popular potential candidate with moderate Republicans.
61% have a favorable opinion of her to 53% for Mitt Romney, 50% for Mike Huckabee, and 44% for Newt Gingrich.
She's generally thought of as the darling of the conservative wing of the party- and she's the most popular there too as 83% view her positively to 79% for Huckabee, 77% for Gingrich, and 69% for Romney- but it may come as a surprise that she's tops with moderates as well.
That popularity with the centrist wing of the party speaks well to her prospects for assembling the coalition of voters she would need to win the nomination...but she continues to poll the weakest in a general election match up, setting up what could be a hard choice for some GOP voters in 2012 between who they like the most and who they think can actually beat Barack Obama.
Posted by Tom Jensen at 9:48 AM